Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
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7
Ṁ3081
2025
16%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
D Gukesh
12%
Fabiano Caruana
11%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
11%
Alireza Firouzja
6%
Other
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Praggnanandhaa R
3%
Ding Liren
3%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Wesley So
2%
Vidit Gujrathi
1.7%
Richard Rapport
1.5%
Hans Niemann
1.5%
Vincent Keymer
1.5%
Anish Giri

Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.

If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first. If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.

Can resolve as someone currently rated 2800 or above in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.

Resolution date will be extended as needed.

Rating source: https://ratings.fide.com/

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Erigaisi finished Qatar Masters at 2800.6 live, so he'll be over 2800 on the January list.

@DanielTilkin He was also over 2800 in the December list: https://ratings.fide.com/profile/35009192/chart

@JonathanNankivell Yes, I meant that he won't drop below 2800. So to get this, he still needs to drop below, then go above again.

@creator need to add Arjun to the list in the description it could resolve to. Probably to the list of answers as well.

@DanielTilkin I believe people can add answers, so feel free to!

@Mad Done!

@DanielTilkin note that cross has always meant exceed, hence the note in the description about Magnus etc being eligible if they go below and then back above. I'll rename the market

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