Will Grok 4 achieve over 69% on SimpleBench
7
Ṁ56
Aug 10
36%
chance

Grok 4, xAI's latest AI model, has demonstrated significant improvements over its predecessors. SimpleBench is a benchmark designed to evaluate AI models on spatio-temporal reasoning, social intelligence, and linguistic adversarial robustness. As of July 2025, Grok 4 has not been publicly tested on SimpleBench. This market resolves to 'Yes' if Grok 4 achieves a score above 69% on SimpleBench. Verification will be based on official announcements from xAI or SimpleBench's leaderboard updates. SimpleBench Leaderboard

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SOTA is Gemini 2.5 Pro (06-05) at 62.4%, and new models have generally improved by 1-3 %points

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