Which pollster will be the most accurate in predicting the 2024 election results (popular vote)?
Plus
4
Ṁ1980Dec 1
64%Other
12%
AtlasIntel
2%
InsiderAdvantage
1.5%
NYT/Siena
1.5%
Ipsos
1.5%
Economist/YouGov
1.5%
PBS/Marist
1.5%
Harris
1.5%
CNN/SSRS
1.5%
Morning Consult
1.5%
Quinnipiac
1.5%
RMG Research
1.5%
Cygnal
1.5%
Emerson
1.5%
ActiVote
1.5%
TIPP
Based on the popular vote margin reported by AP compared to the final national LV poll before the election, as reported on 538. Does not take state polls into account.
Pollsters can be added, but only polls that are either in 538’s database count, with exceptions for Trafalgar, Rasmussen, ActiVote, and InsiderAdvantage. Exit polls and AP Votecast do not count.
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