More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?
More than half of humans will be overweight or obese by end of 2035?
➕
Plus
45
Ṁ2565
2035
28%
chance

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/mar/02/more-than-half-of-humans-on-track-to-be-overweight-or-obese-by-2035-report

Resolves YES as soon as the number is higher, even if it subsequently goes down. Resolves NO at end of 2035. Only living humans with physical bodies count. Ages five and over.

For the purposes of the report and this market, those with a body mass index (BMI) of 25+ are judged to be overweight or obese. This market will use the 2023 definition of BMI.

Numbers from the World Obesity Atlas are preferred, as this market is based on their pseudo-prediction, as reported.

I will not bet in this market

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:

Sadly, I believe it. With how fast-paced life has become, so many of us turn to convenience foods and sedentary routines. I was part of that trend until my health became a concern. I decided to buy Mounjaro online, and it really helped me regain control over my eating habits. It’s not just about looking better, it’s about feeling better, thinking clearer, and living longer. We need more accessible tools and awareness around healthy choices, especially with modern stress and tech-driven lifestyles.

6mo

Open this back up, what’s up?

6mo

@Predictor long term markets don't really work any more.

6mo

@MartinRandall Dang it, alright.

6mo

@MartinRandall

Long term markets don't really work any more.

Certainly not if they're closed

6mo

what they work fine

6mo

they never worked in the first place

6mo

that's what I'm saying, they work about as well as they ever did

6mo

@Predictor reopened

bought Ṁ20 NO9mo

Have some faith in the people!

bought Ṁ10 NO11mo

What age ranges will you resolve on? 5 and over? 20 and over?

11mo

@Tripping five and over, per linked article

predictedYES 2y

Guessing that this question will be answered by which of the following arrives first to the global poor: abundant calories or the new GLP-1 drugs

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules