Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?
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Resolves Yes if SCOTUS judges have term limits, whether imposed by Congress or self-imposed. This includes any sort of time limit, age limit, case limit, session limit, etc. It includes limits that only apply to future judges.
Resolves No otherwise.
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Note that the constitution says that scotus justices serve during good behavior, meaning for life unless impeached. Congress does not have the power to impose term limits, nor are the justices empowered to impose term limits on each other. It would take a constitutional amendment, and we basically don't do that anymore.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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