Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
Plus
20
Ṁ1140Jan 22
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set to 60s to midnight or less by the end of January 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%
@justifieduseofFallibilism If the Doomsday Clock were to reach a minute to midnight by 2026, the clock would be 40 seconds to midnight by 2027?
bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%
bought Ṁ12 NO at 22%
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
76% chance
Doomsday Clock set at less than 90 seconds to midnight by January 2025
78% chance
Will the Doomsday clock remain unchanged this year?
27% chance
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
What will be the reason cited the next time the doomsday clock moves closer to midnight?
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
47% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
30% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
27% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
41% chance