꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂
The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!
Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve as "Yes" if:
Any U.S. state passes legislation that eliminates no-fault divorce as an option for married couples seeking divorce, OR
Any U.S. state passes legislation that significantly restricts access to no-fault divorce (e.g., requiring a lengthy separation period, mandatory counseling, or spousal consent)
The market will resolve as "No" if:
No U.S. state passes such legislation by December 31, 2025
"Significantly restrict" is defined as:
Introducing new requirements that make obtaining a no-fault divorce substantially more difficult or time-consuming compared to the state's previous laws
Examples include mandatory waiting periods of 1 year or more, required marriage counseling, or spousal consent requirements
Resolution will be based on:
Official state government websites announcing new laws
Reputable national news sources reporting on such legislation
Legal databases documenting changes in state divorce laws
The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:
There is ambiguity about whether passed legislation meets the criteria for "significant restriction"
Legislation is passed but challenged in court and not implemented by the resolution date
Dusty Deevers has introduced SB829 in Oklahoma, which would eliminate no-fault divorce in oklahoma "by removing "incompatibility" as a justification for divorce".