Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?
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24
Ṁ1995
6 hours ago
33%
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As this market:

But based on the outcome of any final appeals for any cases pending by the end of 2024. Close date to extend if necessary.

  • Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is monitoring Ryan v FTC (24-10951 in the 5th circuit) to determine resolution.

An FTC status report is due on July 10th regarding whether they will continue to press the appeal. This will be a key factor.

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Close date extended to the end of 7/9. FTC status report in Ryan v FTC (24-10951 in the 5th circuit) is due 7/10 as to whether they will continue to press the appeal.

@traders I can't get on PACER right now and I haven't seen any news. The trump admin had asked for a pause to decide what to do, that should have been over by now. I'll check back on Monday and reopen if appeal still pending.

@traders Update - if the FTC withdraws the rule, after having been blocked in the lower court, this will resolve NO.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 36% order

Not sure if this is "final appeal" but ban is now blocked in federal courts

Yes, I expected this would happen. The FTC will appeal this case, most likely, and the ultimate outcome of that appeal will lead to the resolution of this market.

Here's a (somewhat hostile) description of one lawsuit already filed: https://prospect.org/justice/2024-04-24-noncompete-ban-ftc-trump-tax-adviser/

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