What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing? | Manifold

What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

Basic

3

Ṁ506

Jul 1

85%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6819/percent-efficacy-of-two-dose-jj-vaccine/ Resolves to PROB matching Metaculus resolution, rounded to nearest whole percentage. i.e. 90.5 would resolve to 91%.

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Extending close date to match the Metaculus date (which was extended).

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