Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?
Plus
25
Ṁ5062300
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ookina_inu LOL, read the question. This is 100 (IQ-selected "designer babies"), NOT 100-IQ selected designer babies.
"This question resolves positively if more than 50 of the first 100 babies who were developed from an embryo selected for polygenic scores for intelligence"
@PeterBerggren But it has the combination of advanced tech, national ambition, and lax regulatory frameworks to make it likely to be at the head of the pack. And this is a technology that won't pop up everywhere at once. One country have a few month lead could be enough to pump out >50 genetically modified babies.
@jonsimon China has a bad regulatory environment. See He Jiankui. Tech is advanced but less than the West.
Related questions
Related questions
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
59% chance
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
18% chance
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
44% chance
Which country will be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
68% chance
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
46% chance
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
24% chance