Will a major train derailment (causing hazardous material release) occur in Ohio between July 21, 2024 and Dec 31, 2024 | Manifold

Will a major train derailment (causing hazardous material release) occur in Ohio between July 21, 2024 and Dec 31, 2024

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Will a major train derailment (causing hazardous material release) occur in Ohio between July 21, 2024 and December 31, 2024?

Authoritative Source: National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)
Last Occurrence: Train derailment in East Palestine, February 2023

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Given that the “21st century” section of this Wikipedia page has roughly 1 entry per year, that would imply a roughly 50% chance that a new entry would occur based on a major railroad accident anywhere in the country, let alone whether or not it involves hazardous material and whether it happens in Ohio.

Forgot to link: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_American_railroad_accidents

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