Will there be an off-year snap election in New Zealand by 2040?
Basic
5
Ṁ1902039
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a snap election happens in a year not congruent to 1 modulo 3, i.e. breaking the usual pattern of 2017, 2020, 2023...
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
Will the Prime Minister of New Zealand lose the game by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?
31% chance
Will New Zealand be using MMP in 2040?
79% chance
Will New Zealand change its flag by 2100?
56% chance
Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
23% chance
Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?
17% chance
What years will have a New Zealand general election before 2030?
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
25% chance