Will Donald Trump be convicted with violating the Espionage Act?
Plus
51
Ṁ11k2025
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is convicted with violating the Espionage Act in respect of any of the documents referred to in the indictment filed on 8 June 2023, paragraph 77.
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000188-a12f-db74-ab98-b3ff4de50000
Appeals after conviction are ignored. Mistrials ignored if a retrial follows.
A final decision not to prosecute or an acquittal will resolve NO.
Pardon, death of the accused, or his election as President before a criminal trial is concluded will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Comment hidden
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be found guilty on one or more of the 2020 Election Result federal charges?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
14% chance
Will Judge Aileen Cannon preside over Donald Trump’s trial under the Espionage Act?
87% chance
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance
Will Trump be found guilty of what happened at the Capitol?
28% chance
Will Trump do time?
7% chance
Will Trump serve jail time for his new indictment?
5% chance
Will Trump be sentenced to prison for violating a gag order?
5% chance