For the ECB, the Deposit Facility Rate going negative (just like from 2014-2022) would be enough, correct?

a fiat currency with negative nominal rates has real EV of <-2%/year while bitcoin has a real ev of >4%/year. Or even a basket of commodities probably has a real EV of -1%-0%/year

@JonathanRay the negative rate thing was a once-a-century bubble

@JonathanRay You are welcome to bet on that outcome if you think that is the case, but history has a weird tendency of putting once-in-century events right after each other.

@No_ones_ghost Is there any way this could resolve Other?

@Bayesian no, I didn't add it it when I created the question, not sure why it's an option. Can't remove the option unfortunately.

@No_ones_ghost All good! The UI is confusing right now

Here, when creating a multiple choice (MC) market, if "One" answer is chosen, the market becomes "linked MC" (the answers add up to 100%), and in that case, picking "You" or "Anyone" for the top question in the screenshot means there's some answer not currently in the market that could theoretically win (if it was added after market creation), so that's what "Other" represents