US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2026?
3
Ṁ14052026
17%
<= 10%
31%
(10, 25] %
26%
(25, 50] %
15%
(75, 100] %
6%
(100, 150] %
6%
>150%
(x, y] here means x < tariff percentage <= y. (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_(mathematics))
10.1 would resolve (10, 25] %
Exactly 10% would resolve [0, 10]
Please let me know if you have any confusions/notice edge cases in this operationalization.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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There are least two different definitions of tariff on Chinese imports. One is the weighted average tariff rate for all volume from China (imo the right metric).
Another is a tariff that applies to all Chinese goods, ie minimum tariff rate. Though for this you’d have to consider if there are exceptions does that mean to use a the lower rate or ignore the exceptions.
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