What will be true of Pokémon Legends Z-A?
What will be true of Pokémon Legends Z-A?
Plus
44
Ṁ8866Dec 31
99%
Available on both Switch and Switch 2 on release
97%
Pikachu can be caught in-game
97%
>5 new Mega Evolutions
95%
>5 new regional or alternate forms of existing Pokémon (must have shared national dex number)
88%
Open world (at least as much as Legends Arceus)
86%
Aiming and throwing things is a central mechanic (like in Legends: Arceus)
82%
200 or more pokemon found in-game
73%
You will be able to go onto Prism Tower
68%
>3 entirely new pokemon (not regional forms - must have own national dex number)
65%
Metascore equal to (or higher than) Pokemon Legends: Arceus (83)
61%
Plot specifically involves time travel
50%
Pokemon will have abilities
50%
New convergent Pokemon
50%
Team Flare will have a non-evil ancestor organization (ie the Galaxy Team)
25%
It will take place entirely inside of Lumiose City
5%
It will have multiplayer beyond battling/trading (similar to Scarlet/Violet)
1%
Released before July 2025
Prop bets on what will or won’t be in Pokémon Z-A! Feel free to add your own so long as they are clear, if not then I will ask you to clarify.
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answered1y
It will take place entirely inside of Lumiose City
Any idea why this is so low? IIRC this was explicitly confirmed in its announcement. Are people expecting a technicality to cause this to resolve “no” (like some minor sub-area that is outside the city) or is there some news I missed?
answered1y
>5 new regional or alternate forms of existing Pokémon (must have shared national dex number)
bought Ṁ5 >5 new regional or a... NO
Got it! also, Oh shoot, then I guess I've gotta bet it WAY down, then
answered1y
Pikachu can be caught in-game
bought Ṁ100 Pikachu can be caugh... YES1y
Pikachu is featured prominently in the trailer, no way it's not catchable.
@Gabrielle there have been 3 pokemon catchable in every main game, psyduck magikarp magnemite, pikachu isnt one of them (wasn't in unova) so there is a slight chance
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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