Will the S&P 500 index drop 40% from peak to trough by March, 2029? | Manifold

Will the S&P 500 index drop 40% from peak to trough by March, 2029?

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Will the S&P 500 index experience a 40% decline between now and March, 2029.

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@PVd75c recommend extending the market close date until March 2029

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