Who will play the next James Bond?
Who will play the next James Bond?
Plus
33
Ṁ46452030
65%
4%
Idris Elba
8%
Henry Cavil
19%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
3%
Tom Hardy
0.1%
Tom Hiddleston
1.7%
Cillian Murphy
0%
Paul Mescal
0%
Pierce Brosnan
James Bond is a character created by Ian Fleming and is the lead character in a series of films made by Eon Productions. He was most recently by Daniel Craig in 2021 but it's rumored that No Time To Die will be Craig's last movie.
This question will resolve to the name of the actor who plays the character named "James Bond" in the next action film released by Eon films in which there is a character named "James Bond". If there is no character named "James Bond" in an action film released by Eon films by EOY 2029, this question will resolve N/A.
I will be trading on this market because it resovles by clearly objective sources. (Whereas I will not trade on any market I create if the market is subjective.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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