China to officially recognize Taiwan as a country before the end of 2028 ๐จ๐ณ๐น๐ผ
16
แน14642028
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves yes if China opens an embassy in Taiwan
Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The entity referred to as 'China' (in 'China opens an embassy in Taiwan') is not limited to the current CPC-led government.
Scenarios where a different government takes control of mainland China and that government subsequently opens an embassy in Taiwan would count towards a YES resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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