In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first? | Manifold

In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?

Basic

25

Ṁ5934

2030

35%

Ukraine

10%

Pakistan

9%

Iran

9%

Russia

7%

Taiwan

5%

United States

5%

South China Sea

4%

South Korea

4%

Belarus

4%

Seoul

3%

India

3%

Guam

3%

Okinawa

3%

Jerusalem

3%

The Philippines

3%

China

2%

Washington DC

1.9%

Gaza Strip

Nuclear tests and military drills ar not considered valid

Only a nuclear bomb detonated during an open conflict

Users can add a city or a country or a region

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Information war

#Global Conflict

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@Quadrifold Washington DC and United States are not exclusive. How would you resolve? The more specific takes precedence? Or are some options excluded?

@Irigi it's an unlinked free-response market, they can both resolve YES

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What will the primary target of the next nuclear bomb used in conflict be?

What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

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