Respectfully what is the point of this bet. We’d all be dead and no one would be left to collect or moderate the bets.

@AdamDyer Its not about winning or losing its about our perception of future of humanity. We all have our ideas of likelihood of things. But aggregated, you get a fuller picture. I think thats one important aspect of this platform.

Can we please avoid garbage low-content obviously AI generated text on Manifold 😭

@Devansh I provided a list of risks; and made AI fill in the descriptions. so yeah; sorry it is AI-generated. but not low-content. 5 risks listed are indeed the biggest threats to human civilization.

@Devansh here you go; shorter human input.

In event of human civilization collapse payout can be redeemed at any post office or bank on Alpha Centauri

@sjrl On the bright side; if it doesn’t collapse you can also redeem the payout on Alpha Centauri.

How do you define "multi-planetary species?"

@SimonFillat Multiplanetary is really a placeholder. It doesn't have to be on a planet. Its a human colony able to sustain itself without the need for anything from earth. There could be still trade, but if trade is ceased they should be able to recover from that without significant impact like widespread starvation etc.