Resolves to yes if LLama 3 is released before August 1st 2024.
Questions with the same criteria:
Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Aug 2024?YES (this question)
Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Sep 2024?YES
Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Oct 2024?YES
Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Nov 2024?YES
Other questions for Aug 2024:
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2024?NO
Will Dalle-4 be released before Aug 2024?NO
Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Aug 2024?YES (this question)
Will Sora be released before Aug 2024?NO
In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, Llama 3 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.
A release of the text component alone is sufficient to resolve this question as YES. However, a staged release (a release of a smaller model than the largest version of Llama 3) is not considered to be the "release" in the context of this question.
If access is restricted (e.g. due to resource availability limitations) at this question's end date, then this market resolves as YES only if the majority of existing paying accounts on Meta's premium offer (if one exists for these models) that were subscribed a week prior to this end date can use the model. This must be true in at least 4 of the countries listed above. The anywhere on earth time zone is used for this question.
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ22 | |
| 2 | Ṁ20 | |
| 3 | Ṁ17 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
Llama 405b was released on 23 July. Account of market autor is deleted. Could moderator(or its equivalents on Manifold) resolve the market?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00