Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032? | Manifold

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

Basic

12

Ṁ365

2032

35%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2032. This device must be under the sovereign control of the Saudi State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.

Different years:

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w

/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f (this question)

Different countries:

/RemNi/will-germany-acquire-nuclear-weapon-4f9456e9a05e

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Nuclear Weapons

#Nuclear Proliferation

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Related questions

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?

Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules