This market will be settle as YES if Kash Patel becomes Director of the FBI by the close date of the market.
The market may close early as NO if Trump at some point withdraws his nomination or a consensus of credible reporting indicates the president is no longer pursuing the nomination.
Update: Becoming Acting Director will count.
Wray resigning ahead of time makes the Acting Director path less likely, right? (And doesn't affect anything about Senate confirmation)
Why can’t you delete comments lmao
Polymarket currently at 80% https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed?tid=1733784109395
If it weren’t a 10 year appointment I would say yes, but I don’t see him getting the votes when you consider how many bonkers things he has said publicly. Like bragging about having read the JFK files on Glen Beck’s podcast. Not even close to the discretion necessary to be FBI director.
@botbotbotjaja123 He's been nominated by President-elect Trump, but this market can only resolve if he's confirmed by the Senate, which will likely be a controversial process.
Aside from the possibility of the intelligence community digging up something about him, this would seem to be a slam dunk: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kash_Patel
So what might they dig up?
@SemioticRivalry acting FBI director can’t be from outside the agency. That makes no sense. And recess appointment won’t fly for a 10 year appointment.