Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050? | Manifold

Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?

Plus

51

Ṁ2091

2050

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Anywhere in the world - in a free and fair election.

"Free and fair" does not include putting nanobots into voter's brains to influence their behaviour so that they vote the way you want them too.

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

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bought Ṁ10 YES

This will be an interesting question to follow! Would you count electing a human stand-in who promises to defer to an AI system, like the Wyoming mayoral candidate?
Cheyenne mayoral candidate to use VIC, an AI bot, to run the city – Deseret News

Arbitrage https://manifold.markets/GustavoMafra/will-any-ai-or-algorithm-be-elected

Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?

22% chance. The idea here is to understand if a considerable number of people trust AIs more than humans on making public decisions Let’s count any UN state, in any constituency, as long as the AI/algorithm wins with 10.000 or more votes. The AI can legally be elected as a person, but the campaign…

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