
Will we discover aliens before AGI?
Plus
32
Ṁ12942100
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Aliens = alien life that originates from or lives on another planet. MUST HAVE PROOF.
AGI = Artificial General Intelligence, non-living intelligence created by us that equals or surpasses human intelligence in every respect. (Since human intelligence is not always at the same level, we're talking roughly equal here.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I'm betting NO on this one because it specifically states "lives on another planet" (i.e. within this Universe.) I expect that the resolver will hold to this exact interpretation if the truth about how the non-human intelligence exists is more complicated.
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