@Bayesian Would you like to bet more? If you set up a limit order I'll fill it

@bagelfan Well this makes me think you know something I don’t hmMmMm

@Bayesian Perhaps if you open an order you'll learn of the secrets :P

@bagelfan do you answer to bribery

@Bayesian Perhaps

@Bayesian Actually I'll just tell you lol

In the github-bot channel on the discord there's various PR's on the new AI dashboard

This is clearly a priority and there's two more months to get it done. It'll probably come out within a week or so.

@bagelfan epic!

@bagelfan This project also had at least one note in Standup in the last week.

@SG resolves YES

I just remembered about conditional markets, but I don't wanna add it because I already know the probability :")

Boosts should resolve yes

@No_uh great re-addition btw, love this

Early resolve, partial resolve, multiple resolve, numeric, date, full distribution, full cumulative distribution...these are all possible to do using simple combinations of the basic binary type. There should be more flexibility for creators to combine the basic type into interesting markets. For instance, there's currently no way to close or subsidize individual options using the independent MC type.

@travis i would love to subsidize individual options sometimes

the idea here is that if someone creates large limit orders close to the market price (on both sides), they could be compensated by the platform for the service, which would potentially lead to markets with more liquidity

@Bayesian I wanted to make an answer about letting users just attach their user-defined AMM to an existing market....

But I had too many other answers to add

@Bayesian He is polymarket posting!

@Bayesian the kind of stuff we really love

@Eliza I have a few ideas for this but can't type it out right now.

What Colour are your mana?

Situation: Regular mana is poisoned forever. Charity is toast. The leaderboards have been defiled by the en-ten-en-ing (and un-ten-en-ing). The economy is partly a wreck but partly not.

But today we are free! The site can now explore the fun side of a play money world and also bring back the fun side of not-quite-play-money! Implementing the entire "Sweeps toggle" situation and multiple currencies has opened the door to the kind of gamification that hooked many Manifold users from years past.

---

Colored mana is the next big thing for Manifold because it will let us run limited-time competitions, high-stakes markets, and other long-running projects like reviving the charity program.

Here are a preview of some of the things we could do with colored mana:

• Are you big into Tournaments and Competitions? Buy some 2025 Yearly Leaderboard mana and use it on markets enabled for this mana type. At the end of the year, the site can pay a cash prize to the people at the top of the leaderboard. This prestigious leaderboard may be more respected than the main mana leaderboard if it is limited to certain markets that are chosen by the editorial staff, (...keep dreaming up the rules....)

• Maybe you want to enter the Ultimate Masters League, where you can only trade in Diamond Mana (redeem 1,000 regular mana for one Diamond Mana).

• Would you like to buy some Charity Mana? Maybe Charity Mana is yellow. Charity Mana can be bought with USD. When you buy Charity Mana, you can trade on Charity Mana Markets against other users with Charity Mana. Just like the Sweeps toggle. Later on, when you have some Charity Mana built up, you could choose to donate it to the charity of your choice. Maybe if you support the Shrimp you can trade against users who support Wolves, and whoever wins can send $10,000 in the appropriate direction.

• Do you have a surplus of 2025 Yearly Leaderboard mana at the end of the year? Just transfer it to regular mana at a 1:1 rate!

---

You get the idea...

The possibilities are endless! We already support two currencies. Gamification people love stuff like this. You can sell these products as limited-time offers. Maybe give some away, etc.

@Eliza In general, I think gamification is a great idea.

• It helps activate new users by giving them a natural starting place to make their first bet.

• It brings people together to bet on the same questions, which should increase engagement and interest.

• It could differentiate Manifold from their competitors.

But I'm skeptical whether creating different categories of mana is the best way to do that. Personally, I don't want to have to track multiple different balances. And I think the Manifold dev team wants to simplify the site so that they can maintain it with a smaller team.

We had contests in the past that served a similar role (for example, 🏆 Who will win Super Tuesday on Manifold? 🏆 | Manifold). I would love for those to happen again.

@Eliza i love this idea but I think part of the reason sweepstakes lowered activation rates for new users was that it was confusing! Having more than one currency makes the site experience much worse, at least atm. I could see manifold getting really big and groups having their own currencies but that seems pretty far off, we have to grow the mana economy first!

@ian pfffft, thanks for reminding me. Now I need to buy some Yes in this answer because it is clearly one of the easier ones to implement (multiple currencies already exist) and yet is trading below many answers that are much more difficult to implement. Or maybe I need to buy all the other ones to 5%.

Temperature check on the site users:

@Eliza Being super broad here with 'cosmetics'. The traditional request was an icon or a hat on your avatar, but anything that is "pointless but visible to yourself or other users / looks cool". The key part of this answer is that it is specifically a mana sink, and not a Only-Pay-Money-Directly feature.