Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?
Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?
Plus
41
Ṁ35392029
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The location does not necessarily need to be named Praxis, as long as it is directly connected with the organization of that name today.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
The culture of the city will promote the traditional values of Western Civilization.
I wonder where they'll get the serfs and the slaves....
If this financing announcement is accurate, it looks like Praxis raised half a billion dollars! https://www.praxisnation.com/news/financing-announcement-10-24
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will people move into Praxis Society by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?
28% chance
Will more than 100,000 people live in Prospera by 2035?
23% chance
Will a city like this exist by 2050?
3% chance
Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2060?
70% chance
Will there be a city with a pop of 200,000 or less in it in 2023 have more than 1 million people living in it by 2080?
63% chance
Will we learn that a city had >10k residents and existed before 7400 BC, by 2034?
39% chance
In 2030, will there be at least 50,000 people in whatever the Neom project has evolved into by then?
34% chance
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
29% chance
Will 5,000+ people live in Akon City before 2030?
11% chance