https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon
Claude Plays Pokemon is a Twitch stream where the AI chatbot Claude attempts to beat Pokemon Red. Once the game is reset, all remaining answers resolve NO, even if the stream continues with a new game.
I am N/Aing anything that is annoying to resolve. If I have to pore over multiple days of twitch VODs to figure out which way an answer resolves, I am not going to bother.
Changes to the harness between 3.7's runs and this one: https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vRIsu2pLI21W4KjfYbN13or8E-8cvJYw570wGMEp4UQU63ZhEh9FPGgj2ark8Yk7Vyrtt9MWq3jnn4h/pub
Some relevant milestones from the second run:
Reached Pewter City between steps 5000-5500
Escaped Mt. Moon at step 21496
Reached Vermilion City between steps 30500-32000
Obtained HM01 Cut between steps 55000-60000
Defeated Surge around step 61000
Obtained HM05 Flash around step 100000? (Unsure)
Update 2025-05-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated 'The timer begins now', marking the start of the fourth run.
1,000
3.00
@Balasar claude went the right way to escape the forest immediately after you posted this. please keep posting
@SaviorofPlant Claude will definitely not beeline through Mt. Moon, find the Silph Scope, and develop a mental model of the Safari Zone good enough to beat it. Also, it definitely won’t beat the champion.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vRIsu2pLI21W4KjfYbN13or8E-8cvJYw570wGMEp4UQU63ZhEh9FPGgj2ark8Yk7Vyrtt9MWq3jnn4h/pub
Changes with this version of the harness
@SaviorofPlant I agree the odds are closer to 3% or 4% but it's a trifling sum and so much more fun to root for progress
I am retroactively changing this market to be about Claude's fourth run (after the bugfix reset) instead of the third run. This is against the letter of the description, but it would be mildly annoying to recreate the market and the new version would probably get less traders.
If you are unhappy with this decision, feel free to managram me the mana that you would have lost had everything resolved NO. (I'd offer refunds but I don't think anyone placed big bets expecting a reset before I closed the market, lmk if wrong)
@SaviorofPlant If the run is restarted early, will existing bets still resolve accordingly?
@UnspecifiedPerson The clear implication of the description is that everything resolves NO and I have to recreate the market. Given we're at such an early stage, I might just change the title of the market to "fourth run" and reopen this market, even though that's clearly not what the description says to do
@SaviorofPlant I would strongly prefer that you follow what's written in the description
@Robincvgr hopefully it's just a stream restart. If I recreate the market, the new version will probably get less traders
We can do an unofficial poll. Like this comment if you think I should just reopen this market with the title changed. Like Robin's comment if you think I should resolve everything NO and make a new market
@SaviorofPlant as someone who stands to benefit if everything resolves NO, i think it is just stupid to consider this a new run lol
@ointment like cmon it was reset like 100 steps in due to a bug, no one was betting based on the assumption that that would count. just reopen imo
@ointment Ehhh, I personally actually did bet 1M No on the Rock Tunnel option mostly based on the possibility that it would reset very early. (I stand to lose >150M overall if everything's resolved No, but I still generally prefer markets resolve as close to the plain interpretation of the description as possible.)
