Will there be a vote of no confidence against Humza Yousaf (First Minister of Scotland) in 2024?

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Ṁ3999

resolved Apr 29

100%98.0%

No - Yousaf will quit before there can be a vote

0.4%

Yes - Yousaf will win

1.5%

Yes - Yousaf will lose

0.0%

No - There will be no vote and Yousaf will stay in the job until the end of 2024

The coalition between the SNP and the Greens has broken down and rival Parties are threatening a vote of no confidence against First Minister Humza Yousaf:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2024/apr/25/scotland-power-sharing-humza-yousaf-labour-conservatives-rail-network-post-office-uk-politics-latest-updates

The SNP hold 63 of the 129 seats, so Yousaf will lose this vote if every non-SNP MSP votes against him.

Will the vote go ahead? Will Yousaf win?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#UK politics

#UK Conservative Party

#Labour Party (UK)

#Scotland

#Scottish independence

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Yousaf resigned before a vote could take place and John Swinney has taken over.

Will Swinney be able to avoid Yousaf's fate?

/SimonGrayson/will-there-be-a-vote-of-no-confiden-fa08b3e54b38

Trying to wrap my head around these events. Is this about right?

The Greens: we might quit

Yousaf: you can’t quit, I’m firing you!

Everyone: uh no, we’re firing you

Yousaf: you can’t fire me, I quit!

@traders

Yousaf has jumped before he could be pushed.

Will his successor be able to hold things together, or will there be early elections?

/SimonGrayson/will-there-be-a-scottish-parliament

Wowza, that's a BIG swing overnight!

Congratulations to @NiallWeaver for jumping onto the resignation option when it was at 0.8%!

Interesting video on the background to the VONC and the VONC itself here:

One important point for traders is what happens if the vote is tied. The Speaker (who doesn't usually vote) will cast the deciding vote. By convention, the Speaker should vote against a VONC, meaning that Yousaf would win.

In order for a motion of no confidence to be formally tabled, 25 MSP's (20% of the whole Parliament) must agree to the motion. There are 31 Conservative MSP's, therefore a motion of no confidence will be held.

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