The Bazaar of Knowledge (thread on discord)

Some of the more major ideas presented in the brief:

• "Sand" (aka Mana) isn't devalued as part of a pivot

• "Pearls" (i.e. Spice) is a versatile, user-purchased resource for USD interactions (and can't be acquired directly from the house with Sand)

• Sand and Pearls can be listed for trade at a user-backed exchange

• An expansive suite of economy-adaptive Sand sinks are established, while retaining faucets, such as

  • winnings rake

  • liquidity recapture

  • stagnancy tax

  • exchange fees

  • and more

• Shared trader bonuses are spread between subsidizers

• Pearls can enhance markets for both traders and subsidizers by increasing trader bonuses and being prizes for traders

• More leaderboards are added that unlock new cosmetics for users to get

• Loan options are expanded with varied price points

• User-to-user loans are managed from a central lending house

Plus some minor changes:

• "Honor" (a form of Experience Points) is used for "Number go up!!" and some cosmetics

• There's a fairly significant rebalance to leagues

• The daily quests experience is expanded

• Boosts are reworked to focus on timed acquisition of successful trades

The goal of this question is to measure how entrenched Manifold is in their vision of what the Pivot looks like.

So, if Manifold shifts away from the current plans for the Pivot to adopt a set of changes that closely resemble any of the bigger ideas or The Bazaar is clearly cited as inspiration, this will resolve YES. If Manifold does their pivot as planned, then comes back and uses The Bazaar as a basis to re-pivot by the close date, this also resolves YES. If the changes they make are minor or only fuzzily appear to be related to The Bazaar, it will probably still resolve NO. In all other cases, NO after close.

As this could involve some sort of subjective determination, I won't bet.