Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)? | Manifold

Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?

Basic

14

Ṁ11k

Jan 1

91%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently the treasury yield curve is inverted, meaning short term interest rates are higher than long term, which is not normal.

This question explores if that will be the case going forward.

Using the closing price on Jan 1st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

If the 10 year yield is higher than the 2 year yield, this market resolves as YES

Otherwise it resolves to NO

Check out US TREASURY-CURRENT 10 YEAR’s stock price (US10Y) in real time

Get U.S. 10 Year Treasury (US10Y:Tradeweb) real-time stock quotes, news, price and financial information from CNBC.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/04/bond-market-yield-curve-returns-to-normal-from-inverted-state-that-had-raised-recession-fears.html?__source=androidappshare

Must remain until end of year

bought Ṁ50 YES

Getting dang close!

bought Ṁ50 YES

Seems cheap 👀

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