Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2026?
Plus
6
Ṁ98322025
3%
Yes | 1200 - 1300
3%
Yes | 1300 - 1400
3%
Yes | 1400 - 1500
15%
No | 1200 - 1300
39%
No | 1300 - 1400
15%
No | 1400 - 1500
10%
Chatbot Arena will no longer exist
12%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2025?
What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
Highest Chatbot Arena Elo rating of an open-source model during 2024
What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?
Which companies will outrank OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? ( >= week)
Which companies will outrank or tie with OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2024? (>= week)
Will OpenAI launch a significantly better model for ChatGPT paying users in 2024? (>= 100 points diff on ChatBot Arena)
21% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at any point in 2024? (resolves based on ELO rating)
4% chance