Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?
Basic
12
𝕊312026
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Curious if the martial law attempt will indirectly increase fertility, by potential mechanisms like sense of national crisis or political gender reconciliation.
Source will be https://www.index.go.kr/unify/idx-info.do?pop=1&idxCd=5061
Number to beat is 0.72 from 2023. If 2025 is higher than that, resolves Yes, otherwise No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will South Korea's total fertility rate exceed 1 by 2035
30% chance
Will the birth rate in Singapore be at least 3% higher in 2024 than in 2023?
19% chance
Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
16% chance
Will Singapore's 2024 birth rate, as a percentage of Hong Kong's 2024 birth rate, increase by at least 3% versus the same comparison in 2023?
44% chance
Will China report more births in 2024 than in 2023?
33% chance
Will the South Korean fertility rate ever reach 0.5 by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will the birth rate in Singapore be at least 3% higher in 2025 than in 2023?
34% chance
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
42% chance
Will South Korea offer a 100 million won baby bonus (~$70k) by 2028?
52% chance
Will more babies be born in 2024 than 2023?
81% chance