Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, there is credible evidence that the Trump administration has utilized the TAKE IT DOWN Act to initiate legal actions or enforcement measures specifically targeting political opponents. Such evidence must be reported by reputable news organizations or official government communications. If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

The TAKE IT DOWN Act, signed into law by President Donald Trump on May 19, 2025, criminalizes the non-consensual online distribution of intimate images, including AI-generated deepfakes. The law mandates that online platforms remove such content within 48 hours of notification by victims. The legislation received bipartisan support and aims to protect individuals from digital exploitation. (apnews.com)

Considerations

While the primary intent of the TAKE IT DOWN Act is to combat online sexual exploitation, concerns have been raised about potential misuse. President Trump has publicly stated his intention to use the law personally, suggesting a possibility of leveraging it against critics. (eff.org) Additionally, the administration has been reported to use federal agencies to investigate and take action against perceived political adversaries, raising questions about the potential for the law's application beyond its original scope. (reuters.com) Traders should monitor developments and official actions to assess whether the law is being applied in a manner consistent with targeting political opponents.

• Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The definition of a political opponent for the purpose of this market includes, but is not limited to:

  • Individuals not holding or running for political office.

  • Anyone the Trump administration considers an opponent. This can include members of the media, influential figures, celebrities, etc.

  • Anyone perceived by the Trump administration as detrimental to their political aspirations.