28% chance. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has repeatedly mentioned the idea of "Universal Basic Compute" or a "basic compute budget" which individuals can use, resell, or donate. For one example, see the following article: OpenAI's Sam Altman has a new idea for a universal basic income This question concerns the implementation of such a program by the US government. Other markets may consider any country in the world, or private entities doing this. Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if before January 1, 2030: The U.S. federal government implements a program that provides all citizens with guaranteed access to computing resources (processing power) at no direct cost The market will resolve NO if: No such program is implemented by January 1, 2030 OR if only state/local governments or private actors implement such programs OR if the program requires means-testing or is not universally available to all citizens Considerations Implementation would require significant regulatory frameworks and funding mechanisms that don't currently exist Current government digital infrastructure initiatives don't mention UBC or similar universal computing access programs Technological advancements in cloud computing and edge computing could make implementation more feasible over time Growing concerns about AI job displacement could increase pressure for digital resource access programs