There is this market about an @EliezerYudkowsky prediction. 2050 is the date from the market as the video doesn't predict a time-frame, but it is supposed to be possible with "very primitive nanotechnology or very advanced biotechnology".
The strawberry should look "the same under like a Standard Optical microscope". I will add that it should be edible and taste the same (flavor and texture) as the original strawberry, because why would anyone copy it otherwise ?
1,000
3.00Cellular level. That means each individual cell should have mostly the right composition and be at the right place. There can be some errors but not so much. It can be a small strawberry, as a wild one. However it must edible and tasty, that mean ripe as it should. Process can be expensive, let say about 50 000 current USD, but not much more. I will not buy it myself at that price but I should know it's possible.
If this is close, I will tend to consider tech possible. (If I'm still here to resolve the market).
I have bet on the market at the begining, but as there is some room to subjectivity I have closed my position and won't bet more.
You can put a symbolic 50m, just to take note. If you want you don't need much to be the top NO holder.
Personally, I think we will be very far from it. Living thing are much more complex that we imagine, and even with super tech we can't just place atoms where we want as lego pieces, except on ideal cases.
@Odoacre Of course, but goal is an exact copy at cellular level.
Effectively, the use case of this technology is not clear. Perhaps in space, you would like to be able to reproduce any meal. The resolution is overkill but as a luxury why not.
@Zardoru at the cellular level any two strawberries are pretty much the same. If I gave you a microscope and samples from two different strawberries, do you think you'd be able to tell them apart?
@Odoacre The idea is that on the copy each individual cell should be at the same place as in the original. If you can do that you should be able to verify it.