Will "Wicked" (2024) gross >$750 million? (worldwide)
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9
Ṁ648
Mar 28
82%
chance

Source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".

This market refers to solely its initial theatrical run. If "Wicked" appears mathematically certain to not reach $750 million, I reserve the right to resolve this market NO early (without waiting for it to leave every theater). To be specific, if 25x its latest weekly gross would not be enough to reach $750M, this can resolve NO.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The theatrical run in Japan (scheduled for March) will be included in the worldwide box office total.

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Will you wait for Japan if needed?

@Tripping Good point, & yes, I'll plan to wait for japan. (if it was like a year later, it'd be hard to define whether that counts as part of the initial theatrical run, but since it's scheduled for just march, and it will probably have recently been in domestic theaters at that point, i think it should count).

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