In the annual state of AI report, this is the fourth prediction:

"Tech IPO markets unthaw and we see at least one major listing for an Al-focused company (e.g. Databricks)."

This resolves to YES if the 2024 State of AI Report says this prediction was true.

This resolves to NO if the 2024 State of AI Report says this prediction was false.

If neither happens by market close, I will evaluate based on events as of 10/15/24. I would overrule them if and only if I feel their evaluation is unreasonable. An 'unthawing' to me means greater IPO count and combined volume than in the previous 12 months, but I will accept from them any reasonable definition.

I will resolve this early if the market is >95% and I believe we have a clear example of such a listing, and it is clear that there has been a general unthawing, but since we do not know when the report comes out we cannot resolve to NO early.