When would AI first get a gold medal or equivalent in IMO (International Mathematics Olympiad)
Basic
13
Ṁ864Dec 31
20%
2024
63%
2025
5%
2026
5%
2027
3%
2028
4%
After 2028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
71% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
8% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
9% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
79% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
76% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
45% chance
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
44% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84% chance