Will AI win a gold on IMO before it wins a gold on IOI?
➕
Plus
35
Ṁ7651
2040
75%
chance

Will resolve to 50% if somehow it happens at exactly the same time. 100% if before, 0% if after.

  • Update 2025-04-01 (PST): - IMO is scheduled before IOI each year. Therefore, if both events occur on the release date, the market will resolve to yes rather than a 50% outcome. (AI summary of creator comment)

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IMO is before IOI this year by the way, so if both happen right as the contest is released, it will resolve to yes.

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