Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2026?
Basic
11
Ṁ4082027
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Chinchilla presented The Scaling Laws
I'll not hold more than 10 shares in this market, though may make small token bets once in a while.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?
18% chance
Most popular language model from OpenAI competitor by 2026?
13% chance
Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?
46% chance
Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?
91% chance
Will AI (large language models) collapse by may 2026?
11% chance
Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?
67% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
14% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
94% chance