
Will the mean score for The Foundation Model Transparency Index be 50% or more by the end of 2025? (current: 37%)
Basic
2
Ṁ8Dec 31
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The mean score is a just 37%. Yet, 82 of the indicators are satisfied by at least one developer, meaning that developers can significantly improve transparency by adopting best practices from their competitors.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Humanity's Last Exam score in 2025?
-
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2027?
89% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2028?
90% chance
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
13% chance
Top score on Humanity's Last Exam > 50% by 2029?
94% chance
Will any model get above human level on the Simple Bench benchmark before September 1st, 2025.
32% chance
Will the linked market average >= 40% in September 2025?
97% chance
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
29% chance
What % will the Project 2025 tracker be at in 2025?
-
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
69% chance