(Before 2030) How will China actually initiate the annexation of Taiwan?
Plus
13
Ṁ582Dec 31
58%
None (no direct annexation attempt)
5%
Formal ultimatum -- China will formally request for talks to discuss annexation ("or else")
6%
An small incident (whether accidental or planned) snowballs into a full scale conflict
18%
Direct hostilities -- Surprise large scale military action (blockade, direct attack, etc.)
12%
Closes end of this year (2024). Resolves when China does something or in 2030.
If you think 'other' please say what you think in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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