If Apple reveals an iPhone Ultra, will it have a more rugged design similar to the Apple Watch Ultra?
If Apple reveals an iPhone Ultra, will it have a more rugged design similar to the Apple Watch Ultra?
Basic
5
Ṁ115Dec 31
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
predictedNO 1y
"will it have a more rugged design"
-> Can you be more specific?
I assume it might have more durable material. There's a very different question on "if the iPhone will have a design aesthetic similar to the Apple Watch Ultra", which has a distinctive style.
I'd personally expect the iPhone Ultra, if it is released, to be more durable than the iPhone Pro (~70% chance), but I wouldn't expect it to have a design aesthetic in the vein of the Watch Ultra (~20% chance).
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?
Will Apple release an AirPods Pro Case (or new model) with a SCREEN on the case, before mid 2025 ?
20% chance
What will be true about iPhone 17 air/ slim?
Will Apple eliminate the “Plus” model from the iPhone 17 lineup?
54% chance
What will be true of the iPhone 2025?
Will Apple announce a smart ring wearable product by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
25% chance
Will Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
20% chance
What will be true about Apple's smart ring?
Will Apple still be selling a device called the iPhone in 2035?
72% chance