Will 2024 have "entirely different themes" from "peace and war"?
Basic
2
Ṁ17
Jan 1
65%
chance

Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: [...] Okay, next prediction. “2023 was a 7 year, because 2 plus 0 plus 2 plus 3 is 7. And 7 has themes of peace and war. And we saw a war break out. And this year is an 8. (Laughing.) And that has entirely different themes.”

Ross Blocher: Such as?

Carrie Poppy: (Through laughter.) And then she doesn’t tell us the themes!

Ross Blocher: Lori. Lori, what you doing?

Carrie Poppy: But it won’t be peace and war. So, there will be neither of those things. Okay? No peace, no war.

Ross Blocher: Alright. Okay. Not Tolstoy.

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:

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@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.

Either way, I will not trade in this market.

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