Would the independent party US president nominees (combine if there is more than 1) gets more than 20% of popular vote?
Basic
6
Ṁ180Jan 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a single independent candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
1% chance
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
3% chance
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will third-party candidates receive 5% or more of the presidential vote in 2024?
1% chance
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
2% chance
Will the elected President be the first candidate to reach 60%?
99% chance
Will an Independent candidate receive 1+ electoral votes in 2024 Presidential Election?
11% chance
[Metaculus] Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote...US presidential election?
3% chance
Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
22% chance
Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote?
99% chance