Will I walk 500k steps in October?
37
Ṁ13k
Oct 31
85%
chance

My step count this year so far:

Sep 2025 402,254

Aug 2025 336,694

Jul 2025 301,247

Jun 2025 401,092

May 2025 243,167

Apr 2025 318,989

Mar 2025 350,221

Feb 2025 402,863

Jan 2025 332,237

My PB is ~470k steps. I've only done 10k steps over the first two days, so i need a ~16.8k clip to do it. I'm highly motivated. Obviously i'll only bet yes here and hold

EDIT - I will try to provide updates every five days. This market resolves YES if I log* (this includes both walking & running which i do occasionally) at least 500k steps by Nov 1st 0000h (my timezone), and NO in all other cases, including force majeure events, or me not updating on progress

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another hectic work day i had to salvage in the evening...i'm at 374500 steps

another maintenance mode day - i need to average 13.7k steps in the final 10 days

hectic work day, but i did just enough to maintain my new required average. total steps at
347k

@diadematus dude I’m impressed

@MRME thanks...tbh the physical part is borderline trivial. maintaining motivation (which this market was supposed to help with) and finding time is the hard part. i work from home so that helps a lot

bought Ṁ50 YES

@diadematus we believe in you!

normal service resumes - i'm at ~333k steps, required average for the final 12 days is down to ~14k

first real grind of the month. i was completely out of it, but rallied a bit in the afternoon. total steps at ~308k, i need to average ~14.8k for the rest of the month

another lil statement day..overall up to ~291k steps. average required for the rest of the month is now ~14900.

17k steps today, up to ~270k steps overall. I now only need to average ~15350 steps for the remaining 15 days. I'm going to try doing daily updates again cause i think it helps with motivation (and to give NO bettors ample time to capitulate).

travelled back home and predictably came back down to earth (mostly deliberately). I'm at 252306 steps and solidly on pace with 16 days to go. I plan to ramp back up starting tomorrow and rebuild a buffer again

i am playing a 3-day chess tournament starting tomorrow so i decided to update this week's progress earlier. i'm at a blistering ~168k steps so far, around ~20k steps ahead of schedule. since i'm not allowed to have/wear electronics in the playing hall during my games i will likely lose ~20k steps over the 3 days due to not being able to track. i still plan to do a more sustainable ~15k pace regardless. next update next Thursday

bought Ṁ150 YES

You are crushing it so far . You can do this

bought Ṁ500 NO

Betting against you but cheering you on - good luck!

another (ongoing) 25k day so my plan to erase my deficit entirely by Friday is on track

Lil spontaneous update for today to give my doubters pause

@diadematus 4h of walking, very impressive, what are you doing during the walk? Listen to podcasts?

@klauwier nothing particularly special tbh. 25k days are not typical tho and only happen on weekends - most of the time it's maybe music or "talking" to chatgpt. currently i'm visiting a coastal town in my country for a week so it's just sightseeing

bought Ṁ300 YES

You doing good. It will be very hard but you will get it

bought Ṁ53 YES from 60% to 62%

15650 steps today, 27424 steps so far. My next update will be next Friday 10th EOD, where I predict I will have reached ~160k steps and back on pace

boughtṀ200NO
bought Ṁ50 NO from 40% to 38%

@diadematus someone has to be a counter party. Otherwise there's no good mana gaining incentive from you betting yes.

bought Ṁ70 YES from 34% to 39%

@Tarl twas a joke. thanks for the free mana tho

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