When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?
When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?
Basic
15
Ṁ423
2040
2053
expected

Can be any US court at any circuit or layer of appeals. Resolves immediately on the ruling, even if that ruling is later overturned.

Dec 27, 8:28pm: The intention is for the phrase “legally a person” to capture any kind of legal personhood, including both natural and juridical persons (i.e. corporations).

In the event that the resolution is unclear due to the creation of some new category for “AI persons” with only some of the rights of other legal persons, then the resolution will depend on our judgement on whether they have the majority of rights of other legal persons (e.g. enter into contracts, sue, be sued, own property, etc).

Dec 27, 6:37pm: When will a US court first rule that an AI is a person? → When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

#️ Technology
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

Related market:

2y

Deja vu central, I swear I've seen this market before but I can't find it...

2y

Can you clarify your definition of a "person?" IE, the same amount of "personhood" that I have, or the same amount of "personhood" an LLC or C corporation has?

2y

@LarsDoucet The intention is for the phrase “legally a person” to capture any kind of legal personhood, including both natural and juridical persons (i.e. corporations).

In the event that the resolution is unclear due to the creation of some new category for “AI persons” with only some of the rights of other legal persons, then the resolution will depend on our judgement on whether they have the majority of rights of other legal persons (e.g. enter into contracts, sue, be sued, own property, etc).

2y

I think this would very likely happen within 10 years of AGI, if the US court still exists at that time.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules