Which opening moves are winning for White?

Ṁ1983

2040

30%

18%

14%

13%

11%

Nc3

11%

Nf3

10%

Nh3

Na3

Each option resolves YES if after the respective opening move, White can force a win with optimal play from both sides. Resolves NO if Black can force a win or draw.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Chess

#Board Games

#Openings

Get

1,000

and

3.00

4 Comments

9 Holders

92 Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ5 NO

If I'm understanding the resolution criteria correctly, the highest option on this market should be no higher than 100 minus this other market: https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/can-black-force-a-draw-in-chess?r=Rmlvbg

@Fion Yeah, if White can't force a win from the starting position, all 20 opening moves resolve NO

How do you accomplish optimal play?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen "Optimal play" just means "Assume both sides always choose the move that maximizes their game-theoretic outcome." An option will be resolved YES only if it is shown through a future proof or exhaustive engine analysis that White can force mate from that position.

Related questions

Related questions